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on state climate policy.

NPA HOw to PAy

 

Model how NPA projects can be paid for (who pays and how) and the impacts on utility revenue and consumer affordability.

 

Scenarios

Gas Capex

Gas Opex

Electric Capex

Electric Opex

Taxpayer

Performance Incentive

Business as Usual (No NPA projects)

Performance incentive

NPA Costs Treatment: 

 

NPA costs are treated as Gas OpEx 

 

Collected in the year costs are incurred

 

No return on NPA investments

Cost Savings:

 

 Savings = NPV(avoided BAU costs) - NPA costs

 

30% of cost savings are recovered as Gas CapEx over a 10 year period

OUtputs

Utility Revenue Requirement

Volumetric Delivery Tariff

Ratebase

Return on Ratebase as % of Revenue Requirement (Return Component) 

Customer Delivery Bill (non-converts and NPA converts) 

Sample output

Outcome compared to a world with NO NPAs 

Depreciation treatment

Straight line depreciation

No impairment

Gas Pipeline - 65 years

Electric Grid Upgrades - 55 years

Misc Gas CapEx - 65 years

Misc Electric Capex - 50 years

Revenue requirement

Rev Req = Ratebase x ROR + CapEx + Depreciation Expenses

Grid upgrades

Winter headroom

Summer headroom

Percent of homes with AC (pre-NPA) 

peak energy consumption of a household AC unit

peak energy consumption of a household HP unit

Winter peaking

Summer peaking

Volumetric Tariffs

Volumetric Tariff(t) = \frac{Rev. Req(t) - Fixed Charge_{per\_customer} \times N_{customers}(t)}{Useage(t)}

Assumptions

No growth in electric customers, only growth in demand is driven by electrification 

Number of gas customers is only reduced by electrification (no price feedback) 

 

We do not account for the role of taxation in the model 

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