
A think tank producing rigorous, accessible data for advocates, policymakers, & the public.
Clarity and perspective
on state climate policy.



When it comes to decarbonizing cities...
Grid = 100's of machines, mostly elsewhere.
Gas = millions of machines, in the city.
#1 emissions source in NYC
Transport = buy EVs
it's the gas, stupid.
Buildings = retrofit...
& shut down pipes.



Growing
$200M a year on new pipes
Rebuilding
Replacing 1/4th of pipes in NYC
Scattershot transition
$17B, paid by gas customers
Could instead electrify 1 in 4 homes

"If you find yourself in a hole, stop digging"
So let's start with new construction!
How it started...
2023


How it's going...
2025

Will it be cheaper to live in a newly built, all-electric, single family home than a fossil-fueled one?

Yes: $1,360 a year,
statewide, on average.




$1,130$610operating costs + annual mortgage payment on equipment costs


Can the grid handle all-electric new construction?

Yep.
3. AEBA will increase electricity use in winter
2. New buildings already have AC
1. Grid reliability risks tied to summer peak

AEBA = 7% of winter peak growth by 2040.
(We just don't build that much.)
What about in the future?
web switch.box
bsky @switch.box
mail jpv@switch.box

FOG and AEBA
By Juan-Pablo Velez
FOG and AEBA
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