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on state climate policy.

What are "leak-prone" distribution pipes?

LPP replacement

How much LPP is out there?

Source: PHMSA

49K miles

All pipes

14% of all pipes are getting replaced

LPP

7.3K miles

How long to replace 100%?

Source: PSC filings

$43B total

$1.6B / year

paid by ratepayers

What's the cost in National Fuel territory?

105 miles / year

$925M by 2036

Next 11 years

x   $800K / mile

=  $84M / year

Can we avoid all this LPP replacement?

An alternative to LPP replacement

What can we decommission?

Source: PSC filings

assumption: 30% of miles can be decommissioned

What's cost effective?

Source: PSC filings

How much cheaper is it?

Where cost effective, it costs $14,000 less

to give households heat pumps + insulation

than replacing the LPP that serves them.

Where is it cost-effective?

  • RG&E
  • NYSEG
  • Central Hudson
  • Orange & Rockland
  • Con Edison
  • National Fuel

Electrification cheaper

LPP cheaper

  • National Grid - Upstate
  • National Grid - Long Island
  • National Grid - NYC

* on average, cheaper in some parts

*

Targeted electrification in NY

  • Electrify  327K households
  • Ratepayers pay $4.6 billion less by 2050

=  6% of all gas-heated households

If we allow utilities to avoid LPP replacements when electrification is cheaper...

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