
A think tank producing rigorous, accessible data for advocates, policymakers, & the public.
Clarity and perspective
on state climate policy.

Scenarios
- Who saves just from switching NG -> HP?
- Minimum Efficiency HP
- High Efficiency HP
- Of those that don't save, would weatherization make the difference?
if you save, median savings =
$603
81%
households who save =
Natural Gas
Winthrop (Suffolk County)

if you save, median savings =
$419
62%
households who save =
if you save, median savings =
$267
47%
households who save =
-$455
median bill change =
-$183
median bill change =
+$38
median bill change =

if you save, median savings =
$825
if you save, median savings =
$1,399
97.7%
households who save =
84.6%
households who save =
68.7%
households who save =
Fuel Oil
if you save, median savings =
$650

if you save, median savings =
$2,183
if you save, median savings =
$2,489
100%
households who save =
99.6%
households who save =
99.5%
households who save =

Electric Resistance
if you save, median savings =
$2,035
if you save, median savings =
$1,279
if you save, median savings =
$1,975
100%
households who save =
99.4%
households who save =
97.2%
households who save =
Propane
if you save, median savings =
$1,024

Backup Slides
Extra material
1 kWh of electric energy is ~5x more expensive...
...than a kWh of gas energy

The Spark Gap is slowly growing.


Net bills increase
Energy bills decrease slightly
Meaningful savings


Older Slides
Presented 3/17/2025
BILL BREAKDOWN
UnITIL




9.4%
25%
9.4% mean savings for the MADPU-Approved discount
25% mean savings for the DOER-proposed $0.16 discount

BILL BREAKDOWN

Gas to HP $

14% save when using the MA DPU approved heat pump rate
28% save with the DOER proposed rate
10% save immediately when switching to a heat pump, even with the default rate
28% for the MADPU-Approved discount
15% for the DOER-proposed $0.16 discount
35% of bills are above the median energy burden threshold ($6,000)

Energy Burden

Supply is the biggest individual bill component.
Winter cold snaps coinciding with high supply prices
add uncertainty to bills.
TO BE Graveyarded
web switch.box
bsky @switch.box
mail jpv@switch.box

MA Targeted Electrification
By Juan-Pablo Velez
MA Targeted Electrification
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